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Session overlaps and where liquidity concentrates

When the market moves

Session overlaps and where liquidity concentrates

Late in the day in Dubai, the desks quoting the euro in London are still at their screens and the desks quoting it in New York have just switched theirs on. The instrument does not change between one hour and the next. What changes is how many institutions are posting a price for it at the same moment, and the shape of the market follows that count almost mechanically.

7 min read, Reviewed

What you will be able to do

  • Identify the two significant session overlaps and their hours in GST
  • Explain why spreads are typically narrowest during an overlap
  • Explain why range and slippage can both increase in the same window
  • Explain why the quietest hours carry their own execution risk

The hours when two regions are working at once 

A session boundary is not a switch. London does not go dark at the moment New York arrives, and Tokyo does not empty the instant London logs on. Each session begins while the previous one is still staffed, still quoting and still taking orders from its own region's clients. For a stretch of hours at each of those seams the market is the sum of two regions rather than one, and that stretch is what an overlap is.

Why the sum matters comes back to how a price is made. Prices exist because institutions are willing to post them: a price at which each will buy, a price at which each will sell, and a size each is willing to do at those prices. The best price available to the market at any instant is not any one institution's price. It is the best of all of them taken together. Adding participants enlarges the pool of postings, so the best of that pool improves. Removing participants does the reverse, and does it just as fast. An overlap is nothing more exotic than the hours when the pool holds two regions' postings instead of one.

Key term

Trading session
A trading session is the stretch of hours during which a market is active, either an exchange's published hours or, in foreign exchange, one of the regional windows the day is conventionally divided into.

The two overlaps, and their hours in Gulf Standard Time 

Of the three sessions covered so far, two seams produce an overlap of any consequence. Tokyo's afternoon runs into London's morning, briefly. London's afternoon runs into New York's morning, for much longer. The second is the larger one by every measure that can be counted: the number of institutions active, the volume reported through them, and the number of scheduled economic releases that land inside it, because the euro area and the United States both publish their data in their own mornings, and their own mornings sit inside that window.

Worked example. Illustrative figures, not YAL prices or terms.

The overlap windows converted into Gulf Standard Time

Gulf Standard Time against UTC
UTC+4, all year, no daylight saving
Tokyo, conventional local business hours
04:00 to 13:00 GST
London, conventional local business hours
12:00 to 21:00 GST
New York, conventional local business hours
17:00 to 02:00 GST
Tokyo and London open together
12:00 to 13:00 GST, one hour
London and New York open together
17:00 to 21:00 GST, four hours
No major session open
02:00 to 04:00 GST, two hours

These are the conventional descriptions of local business hours, not the trading hours of any instrument and not the hours of any firm. The currency market itself runs continuously through the working week. The rows assume northern hemisphere standard time: Gulf Standard Time holds its offset all year while London and New York move their clocks, so for much of the year every window above arrives one hour earlier in GST. An instrument written on an exchange traded underlying keeps that exchange's published calendar instead, whatever the currency market is doing.

The conversion is worth doing once rather than memorising. Gulf Standard Time sits four hours ahead of UTC and holds that offset through the whole year, so all of the seasonal drift belongs to the other side of the calculation. The consequence for a reader in the Gulf is that the largest overlap of the day falls in the evening rather than the working afternoon, which the next lesson takes up properly.

Why the quoted market is usually at its narrowest here 

The difference between the best price to buy and the best price to sell is the spread, and in a market made by many institutions that difference is composite. It is assembled from the highest bid anyone is showing and the lowest offer anyone is showing, and those two need not come from the same institution. That is the entire reason more participants produce a narrower quoted market: the composite takes the best half of each posting and discards the rest.

Key term

Spread
The spread is the difference between the price at which an instrument can be bought and the price at which it can be sold at the same moment, and it is paid on entering and on leaving a position.
Worked example. Illustrative figures, not YAL prices or terms.

One instrument, three institutions quoting it

Institution A posts
1.0999 bid / 1.1002 offer
Institution B posts
1.1000 bid / 1.1003 offer
Institution C posts
1.0998 bid / 1.1001 offer
Best bid available, the highest of the three
1.1000, from B
Best offer available, the lowest of the three
1.1001, from C
Composite difference between them
0.0001, one pip
Difference inside any single institution's own quote
0.0003, three pips

Round illustrative prices, chosen so the arithmetic is legible. They are not a quotation, not a price and not a term of any account. The composite is narrower than any of its parts because the highest bid and the lowest offer come from different institutions, which is the whole mechanism. It does not follow that an order of any size deals at that difference, which is what the next section is about.

Key term

Liquidity
Liquidity is the ease with which size can be dealt close to the prevailing price, and it shows in the spread, the depth at each level and how fast a book refills.

Depth is the second half of the same picture and the half that a quoted price hides. Behind the best offer sits a finite quantity, and behind that a further quantity at the next price, and so on down the book. A market with many participants is usually deeper at every level and not only tighter at the top one, because each additional institution contributes size as well as a price. Narrowness and depth tend to move together for that reason, and they are both consequences of the same count of participants rather than two separate properties of a good hour.

The same window is also where the range is widest 

The institutions that narrow the quoted market are not there to quote. They are there because their clients are transacting, and the same hours that concentrate the postings concentrate the orders. Scheduled releases land inside those hours by design, since a statistical agency publishes in its own morning. The distance between the highest and lowest price reached over a period is the range, and the range of an overlap hour is typically among the widest of the day for exactly the reason the spread is among the narrowest. One count of participants produces both.

Key term

Range
Range means two things on a chart: the distance between the high and the low of a period, and the condition in which price keeps turning back inside a band instead of travelling in one direction.

Slippage is where that meets execution. A market order is an instruction to deal at whatever is available when it arrives, not at the price displayed when it was sent, and the gap between those two moments is where a fast market does its work. Two separate things can happen inside it. Postings can be withdrawn or repriced before the order lands, which is what happens in the seconds around a release. Or the order can simply be larger than the quantity posted at the best price, in which case the remainder deals at the next prices down the book.

Worked example. Illustrative figures, not YAL prices or terms.

An order larger than the size posted at the best price

Size available at 1.1001, the best offer
3 lots
Size available at 1.1002, the next level
3 lots
Size of the order to buy
6 lots
How it fills
3 lots at 1.1001, then 3 lots at 1.1002
Average price of the whole fill
1.10015
Distance from the price that was displayed
0.00005, half a pip

Illustrative sizes and round prices, not a quotation and not a term of any account. The same order against a book holding six lots at 1.1001 deals entirely at 1.1001, which is the point: the outcome is a property of the depth, not of the order. The arithmetic runs identically in the other direction, where a sell order larger than the size posted at the best bid deals its remainder lower. Spread and commission are excluded from the average shown.

The two effects are therefore not in tension and do not need reconciling. Depth is what narrows the composite quote, and depth is what gets consumed when a large number of participants act on the same information at the same instant. An overlap supplies more of it and asks more of it in the same hours.

Neither a narrow quoted spread nor visible depth behind it is a statement about the price any particular order receives. In a fast market an order can execute at a price worse than the one on screen when it was sent, and an instruction to close at a specified level can close at a worse one. Nothing in this section describes an hour as safer or cheaper than another.

The hours when the book is thin 

The trough sits between the New York close and the Tokyo open, with a shallower version of it in the hours before London arrives. Quiet is easy to read as calm, and structurally it is closer to the opposite. Fewer institutions are posting, so the composite is assembled from a smaller pool and the difference between the best bid and the best offer widens. Less size sits at each level, so an order of a given size reaches further down the book and deals at a worse average than the same order would in a busy hour. A single institutional transaction that an overlap would absorb without a mark can move a thin market visibly.

Key term

Thin market
A thin market has few participants and little resting size at each price, so quoted spreads widen, ordinary orders move the price further than usual, and gaps open more readily.

The cost, margin and execution mechanics from the earlier modules all come due here at once, and none of them is suspended because the hour is quiet. The spread is a cost paid on entry whatever the clock says, and it is wider in these hours. Slippage is measured against the depth that exists at the moment of arrival, and there is less of it. An adverse move is calculated on the full contract value rather than on the margin posted against it in a thin hour exactly as in a busy one, so a loss is not limited to the amount deposited at any hour of the day.

Where practitioners disagree 

Whether an overlap is the cheaper window is genuinely contested, and the two sides are measuring different things. One tradition treats the quoted spread as the cost, which makes the overlap the narrowest hours of the day by definition. Another argues that the cost that lands on a statement is the realised one, including slippage and including the wider range that the same hours produce, and that an order dealt in the seconds around a release can give back on execution more than it saved on the quote. Both are describing something real. The disagreement survives because the two descriptions diverge with order size: an order small enough to sit inside the quantity at the best price experiences mostly the spread, while an order large enough to walk the book experiences mostly the depth.

The count of sessions is contested too, which matters more than it sounds. Some accounts add a Sydney or Wellington session and describe four, some split continental Europe from London, and the hours quoted for each differ between sources by an hour or more in either direction. None of these is wrong, because no exchange opens or closes the currency market and no bell marks a boundary. The session names are inherited from an era of trading floors and they describe where the people are, not a rule the market enforces. They are a useful map of participation and a poor map of anything else, and an instrument written on an exchange traded underlying ignores them entirely in favour of its own published calendar.

In summary 

  • An overlap is the stretch of hours when two regions are working at once, so the pool of institutions posting prices holds two regions' quotes instead of one. Of the three sessions, Tokyo into London is brief and London into New York is the long one.
  • The composite quote is assembled from the highest bid and the lowest offer available anywhere, so more participants narrow it. The same participants deepen every level behind it, which is the property that matters for anything larger than the size at the top.
  • The same hours carry the widest range and the most slippage, because the participants who post the prices are also the ones transacting, and scheduled releases land inside them. Narrow quote and wide range are one fact seen twice, not a trade off between good and bad hours.
  • The quiet hours are not the safe ones. A smaller pool widens the composite and thins the depth at every level, so a given order deals further down the book, and the cost, margin and execution mechanics apply unchanged at every hour of the day.

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